B. Dortmund II vs Holstein Kiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
39.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2007 |
BOR
0 - 1
STP
28%
27%
45%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
HAM
2 - 0
BOR
53%
24%
23%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
BSV
3 - 2
BOR
50%
25%
25%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
BAY
2 - 0
BOR
44%
25%
31%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
BOR
2 - 1
WSV
39%
26%
35%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2007 |
HOL
1 - 1
WUP
48%
25%
28%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
MAG
0 - 0
HOL
45%
27%
29%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
HOL
1 - 0
SGD
39%
26%
35%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
HOL
0 - 2
ERF
52%
24%
24%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
F95
2 - 0
HOL
60%
22%
17%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |