B. Dortmund II vs Heidenheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
42.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
ERF
1 - 0
BOR
46%
25%
29%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
BOR
1 - 3
ERZ
27%
27%
46%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
BAY
3 - 0
BOR
51%
24%
25%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2010 |
SGD
3 - 2
BOR
49%
25%
26%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2010 |
BOR
2 - 1
SVS
35%
26%
39%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Heidenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
HEI
2 - 4
UNT
47%
25%
28%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
ING
4 - 3
HEI
51%
24%
25%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
HEI
0 - 2
OFC
50%
25%
25%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
WER
1 - 1
HEI
40%
25%
35%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2010 |
HEI
0 - 1
EBT
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |