B. Dortmund II vs SpVgg Erkenschwick analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
11.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1998 |
PRE
3 - 2
BOR
46%
25%
30%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1998 |
BOR
0 - 1
ELV
69%
18%
13%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1998 |
BOR
0 - 3
BAY
52%
22%
26%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 1998 |
VER
2 - 2
BOR
50%
23%
28%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1998 |
AAA
6 - 1
BOR
50%
23%
27%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
SpVgg Erkenschwick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1998 |
ERK
1 - 1
EIN
31%
26%
43%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1998 |
RWA
2 - 1
ERK
72%
17%
10%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1998 |
ERK
2 - 3
WUP
39%
26%
35%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -2 |
| 21 Aug. 1998 |
PRE
2 - 2
ERK
64%
22%
14%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 1998 |
ERK
0 - 0
ELV
54%
23%
23%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |