B. Dortmund II vs B. Leverkusen II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
18.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
KAI
0 - 2
BOR
47%
25%
28%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
BOR
2 - 1
BOR
40%
24%
36%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -2 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
BOR
1 - 3
ELV
58%
24%
18%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2011 |
HOM
0 - 2
BOR
13%
19%
67%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
BOR
4 - 3
BAY
63%
21%
16%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
B. Leverkusen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2011 |
BAY
3 - 3
S04
50%
24%
27%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
BAY
4 - 1
S04
42%
25%
33%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
SPO
1 - 0
BAY
60%
22%
18%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2011 |
BAY
3 - 1
MAI
37%
26%
37%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
BOR
4 - 3
BAY
63%
21%
16%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |