Borgosesia vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.4%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.5%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
10.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
25.8%
59.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
18.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
28%
0-2
14%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Borgosesia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
ASD
3 - 4
BOR
65%
19%
16%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
CAS
0 - 0
BOR
53%
26%
21%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
BOR
1 - 0
VER
55%
24%
21%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2019 |
USA
3 - 0
BOR
77%
17%
7%
|
27 | 50 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
BOR
2 - 2
SAN
25%
24%
51%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
ASL
2 - 2
CHI
69%
19%
12%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
ASL
2 - 3
GRA
64%
20%
17%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
USR
0 - 1
ASL
23%
27%
50%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2019 |
BIS
1 - 0
ASL
27%
28%
45%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
ASL
1 - 0
BIS
68%
20%
12%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | -1 |