Borgosesia vs Derthona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
7.6%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Borgosesia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2017 |
ARC
1 - 2
BOR
22%
22%
56%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
BOR
0 - 1
COM
19%
24%
57%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
PRO
1 - 1
BOR
36%
28%
37%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
BOR
1 - 0
FOL
51%
25%
23%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
VAR
1 - 3
BOR
22%
25%
53%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Derthona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2017 |
DER
1 - 0
SER
24%
24%
52%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
CAR
0 - 0
DER
85%
11%
4%
|
21 | 44 | 23 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
DER
1 - 2
PAV
7%
18%
75%
|
21 | 49 | 28 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
VAR
3 - 2
DER
87%
10%
3%
|
21 | 53 | 32 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
DER
0 - 2
ARC
27%
23%
50%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | -1 |