Borgosesia vs Derthona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
19%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Borgosesia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
LAV
1 - 0
BOR
66%
21%
14%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
BOR
3 - 1
FEZ
75%
15%
11%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
NOV
0 - 5
BOR
23%
26%
52%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
LIG
1 - 0
BOR
35%
23%
42%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
BOR
0 - 2
CAR
31%
26%
44%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Derthona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
DER
2 - 0
NOV
64%
21%
14%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
LIG
1 - 0
DER
43%
23%
34%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
DER
0 - 0
CAR
17%
24%
59%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 1
DER
17%
21%
62%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
DER
1 - 1
PIN
32%
24%
44%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |