Borgo San Donnino vs Sammaurese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.4%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
58.4%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
15º
18º
16º
41
1º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
72 | 72 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 62 |
3º
|
73.5% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 61 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
6º
|
50.5% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 45 |
10º
|
50.5% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 45 |
11º
|
50.5% | |
|
11º
|
44 | 44 |
12º
|
50.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
38 | 38 |
14º
|
94% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 33 |
15º
|
94% | |
|
|
16º
|
28 | 28 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
27 | 27 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 23 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Borgo San Donnino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 1
BSD
79%
14%
7%
|
20 | 49 | 29 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
BSD
0 - 1
ACA
19%
20%
60%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2023 |
BSD
0 - 4
VSM
31%
23%
46%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | -2 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
RAV
4 - 0
BSD
73%
18%
10%
|
24 | 46 | 22 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
BSD
0 - 2
COR
17%
23%
60%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Sammaurese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
SAM
0 - 0
FOR
26%
28%
46%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
CER
0 - 1
SAM
18%
20%
62%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 1
SAM
55%
24%
21%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
SAM
1 - 0
PRO
58%
23%
20%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
SAM
1 - 0
MEZ
45%
25%
30%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |