Borgo San Donnino vs Aglianese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
60.4%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
15º
18º
16º
44
6º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
72 | 72 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 62 |
3º
|
73.5% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 61 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
6º
|
50.5% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 45 |
10º
|
50.5% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 45 |
11º
|
50.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
44 | 44 |
12º
|
50.5% | |
|
13º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
38 | 38 |
14º
|
94% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 33 |
15º
|
94% | |
|
|
16º
|
28 | 28 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
27 | 27 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 23 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Borgo San Donnino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2023 |
BSD
0 - 4
VSM
31%
23%
46%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
RAV
4 - 0
BSD
73%
18%
10%
|
24 | 46 | 22 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
BSD
0 - 2
COR
17%
23%
60%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 1
BSD
66%
19%
15%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
BSD
0 - 1
LEN
19%
24%
57%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Aglianese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2023 |
FOR
3 - 0
ACA
52%
24%
24%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
ACA
0 - 0
CER
72%
17%
11%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
PRO
2 - 3
ACA
22%
23%
55%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
ACA
0 - 0
MEZ
55%
23%
23%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
SAM
0 - 2
ACA
38%
27%
35%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |