Borgo a Buggiano vs Mantova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
61.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Borgo a Buggiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
PRO
2 - 0
BOR
69%
18%
14%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
TRE
1 - 1
BOR
76%
16%
8%
|
32 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
BOR
0 - 1
ACM
52%
25%
23%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
USA
1 - 4
BOR
76%
16%
8%
|
33 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
BOR
2 - 1
RIM
16%
23%
61%
|
32 | 54 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
MAN
1 - 2
VIN
80%
15%
5%
|
52 | 23 | 29 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
MAN
0 - 0
ACD
79%
15%
6%
|
52 | 27 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
ACS
4 - 0
MAN
11%
21%
68%
|
53 | 23 | 30 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
MAN
1 - 0
REN
73%
18%
9%
|
55 | 37 | 18 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 2
MAN
12%
22%
66%
|
57 | 31 | 26 | -2 |