Borgaro Nobis vs Albenga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
51.7%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+87%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
6º
17º
12º
6
2º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
12º
|
4 | 74 |
1º
|
25% | |
|
1º
|
7 | 72 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 69 |
3º
|
11.5% | |
|
17º
|
2 | 67 |
4º
|
7.5% | |
|
5º
|
5 | 64 |
5º
|
10% | |
|
|
2º
|
6 | 64 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 63 |
7º
|
8.5% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 60 |
8º
|
6% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 60 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 57 |
10º
|
7.5% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 56 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
6 | 49 |
12º
|
11.5% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 46 |
13º
|
8.5% | |
|
19º
|
0 | 44 |
14º
|
11.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 44 |
15º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 43 |
16º
|
8% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 37 |
17º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 32 |
18º
|
16.5% | |
|
3º
|
6 | 31 |
19º
|
20% | |
|
20º
|
0 | 24 |
20º
|
53.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 3.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
7.5% | 30.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
64.5% | 64.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
25.5% | 1.5% |
|
Relegation
|
2% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Borgaro Nobis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
VOG
1 - 2
BOR
65%
18%
17%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
BOR
2 - 1
GOZ
26%
23%
52%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | +3 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
CAI
2 - 1
BOR
11%
16%
74%
|
21 | 7 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
FOL
2 - 1
BOR
76%
15%
9%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
BOR
1 - 2
LAV
33%
24%
44%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Albenga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
ABN
4 - 1
FOS
74%
15%
11%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
ASD
2 - 0
ABN
48%
25%
27%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
ABN
3 - 1
SAN
35%
26%
40%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +2 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
LAV
1 - 2
ABN
54%
21%
25%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
ABN
0 - 2
ASD
33%
27%
40%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -1 |