Borgaro Nobis vs Albenga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
51.6%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-85%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
6º
19º
17º
19
2º
19º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
19º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 88 |
1º
|
94% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 76 |
2º
|
36.5% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 75 |
3º
|
32% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 74 |
4º
|
28.5% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 66 |
5º
|
28% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 66 |
6º
|
25.5% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 62 |
7º
|
29.5% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 61 |
8º
|
30.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 50 |
9º
|
22% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 49 |
10º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 47 |
11º
|
11% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 47 |
12º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 46 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 45 |
14º
|
14.5% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 40 |
15º
|
14.5% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 39 |
16º
|
18% | |
|
|
17º
|
21 | 32 |
17º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
19º
|
19 | 32 |
18º
|
21.5% | |
|
18º
|
20 | 29 |
19º
|
25% | |
|
20º
|
17 | 29 |
20º
|
42% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
3% | 3% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
61.5% | 62% |
|
Relegation
|
35.5% | 35% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Borgaro Nobis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
VOG
1 - 2
BOR
65%
18%
17%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
BOR
2 - 1
GOZ
26%
23%
52%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | +2 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
CAI
2 - 1
BOR
11%
16%
74%
|
23 | 8 | 15 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
FOL
2 - 1
BOR
76%
15%
9%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
BOR
1 - 2
LAV
33%
24%
44%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Albenga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
ABN
4 - 1
FOS
74%
16%
11%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
ASD
2 - 0
ABN
48%
25%
27%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
ABN
3 - 1
SAN
35%
26%
40%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +2 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
LAV
1 - 2
ABN
54%
21%
25%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
ABN
0 - 2
ASD
33%
27%
40%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | -1 |