Borgaro Nobis vs Casale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
68.7%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Borgaro Nobis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
INV
2 - 0
BOR
81%
12%
7%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
BOR
0 - 2
BOR
34%
24%
42%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2018 |
BOR
1 - 0
ARC
17%
21%
62%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | +2 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
LEC
6 - 0
BOR
87%
9%
4%
|
19 | 39 | 20 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
BOR
0 - 1
ASD
20%
21%
59%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
CAS
2 - 1
CHI
29%
25%
46%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
APD
0 - 3
CAS
20%
20%
60%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2018 |
CAS
0 - 1
SAN
20%
23%
57%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
CAS
2 - 1
FEZ
55%
22%
23%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
SAV
0 - 1
CAS
64%
21%
15%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | +1 |