Borgaro Nobis vs Pavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
54%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Borgaro Nobis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
DER
2 - 0
BOR
16%
20%
64%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
BOR
0 - 0
ARC
47%
23%
31%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
COM
2 - 0
BOR
79%
15%
6%
|
31 | 52 | 21 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
BOR
2 - 1
PRO
19%
21%
60%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | +4 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
FOL
0 - 2
BOR
69%
17%
13%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
PAV
3 - 0
SER
70%
18%
13%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
CAS
2 - 2
PAV
9%
15%
77%
|
37 | 17 | 20 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
PAV
0 - 5
VAR
35%
25%
40%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -2 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
BOR
1 - 0
PAV
28%
24%
48%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
ARC
2 - 0
PAV
14%
18%
69%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | -3 |