Boreham Wood vs Dunfermline Athletic FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
55%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boreham Wood
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2018 |
BOR
1 - 0
CHE
60%
22%
18%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
BOR
1 - 1
BRA
62%
22%
17%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2018 |
MAI
1 - 2
BOR
32%
26%
42%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
BOR
2 - 1
HAL
45%
26%
29%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
LEY
1 - 0
BOR
48%
26%
27%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
DUN
0 - 3
ICT
39%
26%
35%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
AYR
4 - 1
DUN
57%
23%
20%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
DUN
0 - 1
HOM
27%
25%
49%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
ICT
1 - 2
DUN
50%
24%
26%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
DUN
1 - 3
ROS
47%
25%
28%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |