Europa League Final
Global 1-5
Girondins Bordeaux vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
39%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Girondins Bordeaux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1996 |
GIR
2 - 2
PSG
31%
27%
42%
|
84 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1996 |
GIR
1 - 1
FCM
76%
17%
7%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 May. 1996 |
BYM
2 - 0
GIR
63%
21%
16%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1996 |
NIC
1 - 0
GIR
33%
27%
40%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1996 |
GIR
0 - 0
LEN
55%
24%
21%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1996 |
S04
2 - 1
BYM
27%
24%
49%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1996 |
BRE
3 - 2
BYM
36%
25%
39%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1996 |
BYM
3 - 2
KOL
70%
19%
11%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1996 |
BYM
2 - 0
GIR
63%
21%
16%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 1996 |
BYM
0 - 1
ROS
74%
17%
10%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | -1 |