Borac Banja Luka vs Sarajevo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
31.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
3º
6º
3º
13
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
13 | 42 |
1º
|
32% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 41 |
2º
|
18% | |
|
|
6º
|
7 | 39 |
3º
|
12% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 38 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 36 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
3º
|
11 | 33 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
5º
|
8 | 30 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 27 |
8º
|
17% | |
|
11º
|
2 | 21 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 20 |
10º
|
25.5% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 20 |
11º
|
22.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 15 |
12º
|
51.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
19.5% | 32% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
37% | 45.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
43% | 22.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Borac Banja Luka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ZRI
1 - 1
BBL
50%
25%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2024 |
BBL
3 - 0
GOS
71%
19%
10%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
BBL
1 - 1
FTC
42%
25%
34%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
FTC
0 - 0
BBL
55%
23%
23%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
BBL
2 - 0
SLO
64%
22%
14%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Sarajevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
SAR
2 - 2
POS
63%
22%
15%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
SAR
2 - 0
RAD
78%
15%
7%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
SAR
3 - 1
GOS
76%
16%
8%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
SLO
1 - 3
SAR
26%
26%
49%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
SAR
3 - 1
SLO
68%
20%
12%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |