Boquinhense vs Independente SE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
41.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-55%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boquinhense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
AMA
3 - 1
BOQ
30%
23%
47%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
BOQ
0 - 3
AMP
35%
22%
44%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
REC
0 - 0
BOQ
26%
22%
52%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
BOQ
0 - 2
REC
64%
19%
17%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | -2 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
AMP
3 - 0
BOQ
29%
22%
49%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Independente SE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
INS
2 - 2
AMA
47%
21%
32%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
AMP
2 - 3
INS
51%
21%
28%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
INS
1 - 1
REC
53%
21%
26%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
REC
1 - 1
INS
20%
19%
61%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
INS
0 - 3
AMP
51%
21%
28%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | -1 |