Bonyhád Völgység vs Kaposvari Rakoczi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
73.6%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
14.8%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.3%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+43%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
6º
13º
12º
16
1º
7º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
16 | 70 |
1º
|
56.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
16 | 65 |
2º
|
32.5% | |
|
1º
|
18 | 64 |
3º
|
22% | |
|
6º
|
12 | 58 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
2º
|
17 | 57 |
5º
|
26% | |
|
5º
|
12 | 56 |
6º
|
18.5% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 39 |
7º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 38 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 36 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 33 |
10º
|
18% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 33 |
11º
|
11% | |
|
|
11º
|
9 | 32 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
13º
|
7 | 27 |
13º
|
14% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 25 |
14º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 22 |
15º
|
17% | |
|
15º
|
2 | 21 |
16º
|
29.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 12.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
80.5% | 87.5% |
|
Relegation
|
19.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bonyhád Völgység
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
PTE
1 - 2
BVO
41%
22%
36%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
BVO
1 - 0
MSE
40%
23%
38%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
BFC
2 - 0
BVO
79%
14%
7%
|
22 | 46 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
BVO
0 - 2
DUN
43%
22%
35%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
PAK
5 - 1
BVO
65%
18%
17%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Kaposvari Rakoczi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
KAP
1 - 1
TIS
65%
19%
16%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
KAP
6 - 0
GVC
85%
11%
4%
|
47 | 21 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
MTK
2 - 3
KAP
16%
21%
63%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
KAP
1 - 5
IVA
35%
25%
40%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
PAT
2 - 9
KAP
11%
15%
74%
|
47 | 8 | 39 | +1 |