Bontang vs Madura United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
21.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bontang
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2010 |
PER
2 - 1
BON
52%
24%
25%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
SRI
1 - 2
BON
51%
24%
25%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
BON
1 - 0
PSP
53%
24%
24%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2010 |
BON
2 - 2
PER
53%
24%
23%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2010 |
PER
3 - 0
BON
52%
24%
24%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Madura United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2010 |
MAD
0 - 2
PER
47%
26%
26%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
MAD
0 - 0
PSP
46%
26%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2010 |
PER
1 - 0
MAD
56%
24%
21%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2010 |
PER
3 - 1
MAD
53%
25%
23%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2010 |
MAD
1 - 0
PER
47%
26%
27%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |