Bonsucesso vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.9%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.1%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
1.7%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.6%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
76%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
16%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.3%
0-2
16.9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
23.2%
0-3
11.9%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
15.2%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bonsucesso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
BON
1 - 2
BOA
25%
25%
51%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
POR
3 - 1
BON
47%
28%
26%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
MAC
2 - 2
BON
67%
20%
13%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
BON
0 - 3
BAN
30%
28%
42%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
CAB
3 - 1
BON
45%
26%
29%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
VAS
1 - 1
BOT
47%
27%
26%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
VAS
2 - 2
FRI
80%
15%
5%
|
78 | 46 | 32 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
TIG
0 - 2
VAS
7%
16%
77%
|
78 | 36 | 42 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
VAS
1 - 0
FLA
44%
27%
30%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
VAS
2 - 0
VOL
76%
17%
7%
|
78 | 53 | 25 | 0 |