Carioca B2 Eliminatorias Semi-finals
Global 3-3
Bonsucesso vs São Cristóvão RJ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
33.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+84%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bonsucesso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
RDJ
2 - 1
BON
30%
22%
48%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2023 |
BON
0 - 0
ZFC
54%
23%
23%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
ANG
0 - 3
BON
13%
21%
66%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
CGA
0 - 2
BON
29%
23%
48%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2023 |
BON
1 - 1
RIO
46%
24%
30%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
São Cristóvão RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
SCR
3 - 0
RIO
50%
21%
28%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2023 |
BEL
0 - 0
SCR
48%
22%
31%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
SCR
3 - 0
ADB
64%
19%
17%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
MAG
0 - 3
SCR
24%
20%
56%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2023 |
SCR
0 - 1
CEC
50%
21%
29%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | -1 |