Bonsucesso vs Rio Sao Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
29.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bonsucesso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
BEL
2 - 1
BON
33%
22%
45%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2023 |
MAG
0 - 2
BON
18%
19%
63%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
BON
1 - 0
CEC
61%
22%
17%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 2
BON
14%
21%
66%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
BON
1 - 0
SCR
53%
23%
25%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Rio Sao Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
CGA
1 - 1
RIO
42%
23%
35%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
RIO
1 - 1
BEL
33%
21%
46%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2023 |
ADB
1 - 5
RIO
29%
22%
49%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
RIO
4 - 2
MAG
54%
21%
26%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
CEC
1 - 1
RIO
35%
22%
43%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |