Bonsucesso vs Macaé Esporte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
58.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bonsucesso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
RES
2 - 0
BON
68%
20%
13%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
POR
1 - 0
BON
50%
27%
24%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
BON
1 - 3
VAS
7%
17%
76%
|
43 | 78 | 35 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
BON
1 - 2
BOA
25%
25%
51%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
POR
3 - 1
BON
47%
28%
26%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
MAC
2 - 1
POR
55%
23%
22%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
MAC
3 - 0
RES
48%
26%
27%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
MAC
0 - 1
TIG
75%
17%
9%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2016 |
VOL
3 - 1
MAC
41%
26%
34%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
MAD
1 - 0
MAC
37%
26%
38%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |