Bonsucesso vs Macaé Esporte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
61.7%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bonsucesso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
CAB
1 - 0
BON
65%
20%
15%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
BON
0 - 1
BAN
31%
27%
42%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2014 |
BOT
2 - 0
BON
87%
11%
2%
|
43 | 83 | 40 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
BON
1 - 1
RES
23%
25%
52%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
BON
0 - 2
NOV
39%
27%
34%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
MAC
0 - 1
FLU
15%
23%
62%
|
54 | 82 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
MAC
0 - 0
NOV
58%
23%
19%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
BAN
0 - 2
MAC
31%
25%
44%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
MAC
2 - 2
FRI
55%
24%
22%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
FLA
5 - 2
MAC
79%
15%
6%
|
54 | 80 | 26 | -1 |