Bonsucesso vs Macaé Esporte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
49.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bonsucesso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
RES
1 - 0
BON
55%
22%
23%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
BON
0 - 0
NOV
49%
25%
26%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
BON
3 - 1
MAD
28%
24%
48%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
FLA
4 - 0
BON
83%
13%
4%
|
47 | 81 | 34 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2011 |
QUI
1 - 1
BON
44%
25%
32%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
NOV
2 - 0
MAC
27%
24%
50%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
MAC
3 - 0
RES
51%
23%
26%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
MAC
0 - 0
FLA
15%
22%
63%
|
55 | 81 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
MAD
1 - 0
MAC
40%
24%
37%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
MAR
4 - 6
MAC
52%
24%
24%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |