Bonsucesso vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.1%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.4%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.4%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
73.9%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.4%
0-2
16%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.6%
0-3
11.1%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bonsucesso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
MAD
1 - 1
BON
66%
21%
13%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
BON
4 - 0
BOA
27%
25%
48%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +3 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
BON
0 - 1
VOL
24%
28%
49%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2015 |
FLU
3 - 0
BON
89%
9%
2%
|
45 | 83 | 38 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
BON
0 - 1
VAS
10%
20%
71%
|
45 | 78 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
FLA
2 - 1
BAN
84%
13%
4%
|
82 | 52 | 30 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
FLA
2 - 1
VAS
59%
23%
18%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2015 |
FLA
2 - 0
BRA
84%
12%
3%
|
82 | 53 | 29 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
TIG
1 - 3
FLA
8%
18%
75%
|
82 | 41 | 41 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
FLA
2 - 1
VOL
81%
14%
5%
|
81 | 57 | 24 | +1 |