Bonsucesso vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.1%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.7%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
7%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
72.3%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.6%
0-2
15.4%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.2%
0-3
10.5%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
13.9%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bonsucesso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
AUD
3 - 5
BON
56%
24%
20%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
BON
3 - 0
MAC
17%
21%
62%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | +2 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
CAB
1 - 0
BON
65%
20%
15%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
BON
0 - 1
BAN
31%
27%
42%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2014 |
BOT
2 - 0
BON
87%
11%
2%
|
43 | 83 | 40 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
FLA
2 - 1
NOV
85%
12%
3%
|
81 | 50 | 31 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
FLA
3 - 1
EME
53%
25%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
RES
0 - 3
FLA
14%
21%
65%
|
80 | 52 | 28 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
FLA
2 - 0
MAD
81%
14%
5%
|
80 | 56 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
VAS
1 - 2
FLA
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |