Bonsucesso vs Carapebus EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
16.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bonsucesso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 2
BON
14%
21%
66%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
BON
1 - 0
SCR
53%
23%
25%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
BON
1 - 0
GOY
31%
27%
42%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
CAA
2 - 7
BON
27%
23%
50%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
BON
1 - 0
TIG
50%
26%
23%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Carapebus EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
CEC
1 - 1
RIO
35%
22%
43%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
BEL
1 - 0
CEC
44%
22%
35%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
CEC
1 - 5
BAR
25%
26%
49%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -2 |
| 27 Oct. 2022 |
CEC
1 - 2
RDJ
32%
22%
46%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2022 |
CER
2 - 6
CEC
55%
23%
22%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +2 |