Bonsucesso vs Cabofriense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
47.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bonsucesso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
TIG
0 - 2
BON
45%
26%
30%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
BON
1 - 0
CAM
30%
25%
45%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +2 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
CAB
2 - 1
BON
63%
22%
15%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2017 |
BON
2 - 5
NOV
34%
27%
39%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -2 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
BON
0 - 2
TIG
53%
25%
23%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Cabofriense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
CAM
1 - 1
CAB
29%
23%
48%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
TIG
0 - 4
CAB
29%
24%
47%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
CAB
2 - 1
BON
63%
22%
15%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2017 |
CAB
4 - 1
POR
38%
26%
37%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +2 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
NOV
2 - 3
CAB
48%
25%
28%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |