Bonsucesso vs Belford Roxo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
12.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+415%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bonsucesso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2022 |
MAG
1 - 2
BON
18%
19%
63%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
BON
1 - 2
BAR
36%
28%
37%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
CDA
1 - 2
BON
15%
19%
66%
|
31 | 14 | 17 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
PAD
1 - 0
BON
37%
23%
40%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2021 |
BON
4 - 1
CAA
58%
23%
19%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Belford Roxo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
BEL
3 - 5
GOY
14%
19%
67%
|
12 | 34 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
CAA
0 - 0
BEL
66%
19%
15%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
BEL
0 - 8
OLA
14%
19%
67%
|
16 | 43 | 27 | -5 |
| 08 Jun. 2016 |
PET
5 - 1
BEL
75%
15%
10%
|
17 | 42 | 25 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
BEL
2 - 6
SAM
17%
21%
63%
|
18 | 40 | 22 | -1 |