Bonsucesso vs Barra Mansa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
29.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bonsucesso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
BOT
4 - 0
BON
79%
15%
6%
|
45 | 75 | 30 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
BON
0 - 2
BAN
35%
27%
37%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
RES
1 - 0
BON
66%
20%
14%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2014 |
BON
1 - 3
RES
31%
28%
41%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
BON
2 - 0
DUQ
43%
27%
30%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Barra Mansa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 2
FRI
26%
26%
49%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
FLA
4 - 0
BAR
85%
12%
3%
|
42 | 82 | 40 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
BAR
0 - 1
VOL
27%
27%
47%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2014 |
BAR
2 - 0
BAR
49%
24%
27%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2014 |
TIG
1 - 2
BAR
46%
25%
29%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |