Bonnyrigg Rose vs Stranraer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
27.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
1º
10º
8º
44
4º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 52 |
3º
|
66% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 51 |
4º
|
66% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
48% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 45 |
6º
|
38% | |
|
|
7º
|
44 | 45 |
7º
|
60.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
39 | 42 |
8º
|
58.5% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
58.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bonnyrigg Rose
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
ALB
0 - 1
BRA
42%
26%
33%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
BRA
1 - 1
EAS
48%
24%
28%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
STI
2 - 1
BRA
62%
22%
16%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
ELG
0 - 1
BRA
52%
23%
25%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2023 |
BRA
1 - 1
FOR
44%
25%
31%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Stranraer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
BLA
0 - 0
STR
63%
19%
17%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2023 |
ALB
0 - 1
STR
44%
25%
31%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
STR
1 - 1
STI
27%
26%
47%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
STR
0 - 2
DUM
27%
24%
49%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
STR
2 - 0
EAS
46%
24%
30%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |