Bonnyrigg Rose vs Stenhousemuir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
48.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
1º
8º
8º
68
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bonnyrigg Rose
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
SPA
2 - 1
BRA
61%
23%
17%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2024 |
PET
0 - 0
BRA
45%
26%
30%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
BRA
0 - 2
EAS
56%
23%
21%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
ABE
2 - 0
BRA
84%
12%
4%
|
46 | 76 | 30 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
BRA
2 - 0
ELG
55%
22%
24%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Stenhousemuir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
STE
1 - 6
CLY
74%
17%
9%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
ELG
2 - 2
STE
19%
25%
56%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
EAS
1 - 1
STE
21%
25%
54%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
STE
1 - 0
DUM
54%
23%
23%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
PET
2 - 1
STE
21%
26%
53%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |