Bonnyrigg Rose vs Forfar Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
14.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
1º
10º
8º
45
4º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 52 |
3º
|
66% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 51 |
4º
|
66% | |
|
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
48% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 45 |
6º
|
38% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 45 |
7º
|
60.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
39 | 42 |
8º
|
58.5% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
58.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bonnyrigg Rose
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
GRE
3 - 1
BRA
47%
24%
29%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
BRA
1 - 1
FAL
59%
21%
20%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
BRA
1 - 4
HIB
16%
21%
63%
|
56 | 78 | 22 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2022 |
CLY
1 - 2
BRA
26%
23%
51%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
BRA
0 - 5
HOM
16%
21%
63%
|
55 | 78 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Forfar Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
DUN
5 - 1
FOR
80%
14%
6%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2022 |
FOR
2 - 2
STR
49%
23%
29%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
FOR
0 - 3
HAM
28%
24%
48%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
QUE
4 - 1
FOR
57%
24%
19%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 2
WAH
74%
16%
11%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | -1 |