Bonnyrigg Rose vs Forfar Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
14.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
1º
10º
8º
45
4º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 52 |
3º
|
66% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 51 |
4º
|
66% | |
|
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
48% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 45 |
6º
|
38% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 45 |
7º
|
60.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
39 | 42 |
8º
|
58.5% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
58.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bonnyrigg Rose
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
GRE
3 - 1
BRA
47%
24%
29%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
BRA
1 - 1
FAL
59%
21%
20%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
BRA
1 - 4
HIB
16%
21%
63%
|
54 | 77 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2022 |
CLY
1 - 2
BRA
26%
23%
51%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
BRA
0 - 5
HOM
16%
21%
63%
|
54 | 77 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Forfar Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
DUN
5 - 1
FOR
80%
14%
6%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2022 |
FOR
2 - 2
STR
49%
23%
29%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
FOR
0 - 3
HAM
28%
24%
48%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
QUE
4 - 1
FOR
57%
24%
19%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 2
WAH
74%
16%
11%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |