Bonnyrigg Rose vs Edinburgh City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
14.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+106%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
4º
10º
6º
34
4º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 67 |
1º
|
54.5% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 64 |
2º
|
33% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 62 |
3º
|
35% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 54 |
4º
|
37% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 52 |
5º
|
33.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
25 | 46 |
6º
|
29% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 45 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 39 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 38 |
9º
|
32% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 31 |
10º
|
66% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
11% | 33.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
87% | 66% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bonnyrigg Rose
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
EAS
5 - 0
BRA
64%
21%
15%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
BRA
0 - 1
FOR
54%
24%
23%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
STI
0 - 2
BRA
54%
23%
23%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
ELG
2 - 1
BRA
50%
24%
26%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
BRA
2 - 0
STR
50%
23%
26%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Edinburgh City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
EDI
2 - 0
SPA
14%
20%
66%
|
35 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
EDI
1 - 2
STR
40%
24%
36%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
ELG
3 - 3
EDI
73%
17%
11%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
CLY
1 - 1
EDI
70%
18%
12%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
QUE
1 - 0
EDI
84%
11%
5%
|
35 | 63 | 28 | 0 |