Bonner SC vs SpVg Porz 1919 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.5%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
10%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+64%
+37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
3º
8º
3º
31
8º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 64 |
2º
|
83.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
56 | 62 |
3º
|
60% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 61 |
4º
|
62% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 58 |
5º
|
84% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 45 |
6º
|
97% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 42 |
7º
|
78.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 38 |
8º
|
39% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 38 |
9º
|
36% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 37 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 36 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
31 | 35 |
12º
|
47.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 27 |
13º
|
61.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 27 |
14º
|
63% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 21 |
15º
|
74% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 14 |
16º
|
76% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 95% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bonner SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
HUR
0 - 4
BSC
15%
23%
63%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
BSC
5 - 0
GET
82%
12%
6%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
KON
1 - 1
BSC
33%
25%
42%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | -2 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
H05
0 - 4
BSC
39%
26%
36%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +2 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
BSC
3 - 1
SFB
25%
22%
53%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
SpVg Porz 1919
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
SPV
1 - 2
BFR
36%
22%
42%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
SPV
2 - 0
USC
36%
22%
42%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
SPF
6 - 0
SPV
75%
15%
11%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
SPV
1 - 1
BER
17%
19%
64%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | +2 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
SPV
1 - 4
SIE
31%
22%
47%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | -1 |