Bonner SC vs Schwarz-Weiss Essen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
33.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+75%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bonner SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
FCJ
0 - 0
BSC
38%
25%
37%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
MSV
2 - 0
BSC
50%
25%
25%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
BSC
0 - 0
FCB
40%
27%
33%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
BFR
1 - 3
BSC
51%
23%
27%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2004 |
AAA
2 - 1
BSC
62%
20%
18%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
SWE
3 - 1
MSV
56%
23%
21%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
FCB
1 - 1
SWE
64%
20%
16%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
SWE
4 - 1
BFR
70%
18%
12%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
WUP
1 - 0
SWE
38%
25%
37%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -2 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
SWE
2 - 2
AAA
53%
22%
24%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |