Bonner SC vs Hürth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
11.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
+31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
3º
8º
3º
32
9º
15º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 64 |
2º
|
83.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
56 | 62 |
3º
|
60% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 61 |
4º
|
62% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 58 |
5º
|
84% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 45 |
6º
|
97% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 42 |
7º
|
78.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 38 |
8º
|
39% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 38 |
9º
|
36% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 37 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
32 | 36 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 35 |
12º
|
47.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 27 |
13º
|
61.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 27 |
14º
|
63% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 21 |
15º
|
74% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 14 |
16º
|
76% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 90.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 9.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bonner SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
BSC
4 - 1
SPF
43%
25%
32%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
BER
3 - 1
BSC
51%
24%
25%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
BSC
0 - 0
SIE
71%
17%
12%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
VFL
3 - 0
BSC
60%
21%
20%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
BSC
2 - 4
SCF
66%
18%
16%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Hürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
HUR
2 - 0
SPV
54%
21%
25%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
HUR
0 - 2
FVE
68%
18%
14%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
GET
0 - 2
HUR
42%
22%
37%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
HUR
2 - 2
KON
24%
21%
56%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SVE
4 - 0
HUR
79%
12%
8%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | -1 |