Bonner SC vs Germania Teveren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.9%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.4%
5.7%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+56%
-28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
3º
8º
3º
18
1º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 64 |
2º
|
83.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
56 | 62 |
3º
|
60% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 61 |
4º
|
62% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 58 |
5º
|
84% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 45 |
6º
|
97% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 42 |
7º
|
78.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 38 |
8º
|
39% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 38 |
9º
|
36% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 37 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 36 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 35 |
12º
|
47.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 27 |
13º
|
61.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 27 |
14º
|
63% | |
|
|
15º
|
18 | 21 |
15º
|
74% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 14 |
16º
|
76% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 2% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 98% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bonner SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
KON
1 - 1
BSC
33%
25%
42%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
H05
0 - 4
BSC
39%
26%
36%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +2 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
BSC
3 - 1
SFB
25%
22%
53%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
BSC
3 - 0
MER
74%
16%
10%
|
41 | 20 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
BSC
1 - 1
SVE
38%
25%
38%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Germania Teveren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
BGP
0 - 4
GET
44%
23%
33%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
BER
3 - 0
GET
83%
11%
6%
|
19 | 39 | 20 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
GET
1 - 3
SIE
27%
23%
51%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
VFL
7 - 1
GET
91%
7%
3%
|
21 | 43 | 22 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
GET
1 - 2
SCF
15%
17%
68%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | -1 |