Bonner SC vs BCV Glesch-Paffendorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.7%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.7%
5.6%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+64%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
2º
6º
4º
33
3º
16º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 40 |
7º
|
55% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 38 |
8º
|
55% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 34 |
9º
|
77% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
77% | |
|
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
77% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bonner SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SCF
2 - 2
BSC
28%
22%
50%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
BSC
0 - 0
BER
48%
22%
30%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
VFL
4 - 2
BSC
17%
20%
63%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
BSC
2 - 0
SPF
79%
14%
8%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
VIA
1 - 1
BSC
12%
18%
70%
|
35 | 16 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
BCV Glesch-Paffendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
BGP
1 - 2
HUR
25%
22%
53%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
BGP
1 - 5
WEG
15%
21%
64%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
KON
1 - 0
BGP
79%
13%
8%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
BGP
1 - 2
BFR
27%
23%
50%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
SIE
2 - 2
BGP
65%
19%
16%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |