Bonlanden vs Ulm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
61.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bonlanden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2005 |
BAH
3 - 2
BON
36%
27%
37%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2005 |
FRE
2 - 0
BON
69%
20%
12%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2005 |
BON
4 - 2
HOF
40%
25%
36%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +3 |
| 07 May. 2005 |
BON
1 - 0
FVL
37%
28%
35%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | +2 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
VFR
2 - 1
BON
69%
19%
12%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2005 |
ULM
3 - 1
FVL
81%
13%
6%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2005 |
VFR
2 - 2
ULM
31%
26%
43%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2005 |
ULM
3 - 2
CRA
73%
16%
11%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2005 |
ULM
4 - 2
REU
50%
24%
27%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2005 |
HEI
1 - 2
ULM
49%
23%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |