Bonlanden vs Ulm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.1%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
64.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bonlanden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
STU
1 - 0
BON
41%
25%
33%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
BON
2 - 0
FVL
45%
26%
29%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
SDO
1 - 1
BON
30%
27%
42%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
LUD
1 - 1
BON
59%
22%
19%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2003 |
BON
0 - 2
FRE
45%
26%
29%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2003 |
ULM
2 - 1
FRE
84%
12%
5%
|
65 | 39 | 26 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
FCT
2 - 0
ULM
20%
23%
58%
|
66 | 17 | 49 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
ULM
3 - 2
PFO
74%
15%
11%
|
66 | 34 | 32 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2003 |
ULM
2 - 0
STU
75%
16%
9%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2003 |
WMI
0 - 1
ULM
18%
23%
59%
|
65 | 31 | 34 | 0 |