Bonlanden vs SpVgg Ludwigsburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
17.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bonlanden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
KSC
4 - 0
BON
73%
18%
10%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
BON
1 - 3
CRA
33%
24%
43%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2005 |
WAL
2 - 1
BON
72%
18%
10%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
BON
2 - 3
NOR
69%
17%
14%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
FRE
1 - 1
BON
38%
28%
34%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
SpVgg Ludwigsburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
LUD
0 - 4
FVL
54%
25%
22%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2005 |
LUD
0 - 1
KSC
21%
23%
57%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
VFR
3 - 1
LUD
71%
18%
11%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
FRE
2 - 1
LUD
71%
18%
11%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
NOR
1 - 1
LUD
38%
24%
38%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |