Bonlanden vs Spielberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
31.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bonlanden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
BON
0 - 2
HOF
11%
20%
69%
|
18 | 44 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
ILL
2 - 1
BON
76%
15%
9%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2010 |
BON
0 - 2
ASV
40%
25%
35%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
BON
0 - 0
KEH
36%
25%
40%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
BAH
6 - 1
BON
75%
16%
10%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Spielberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
SPI
1 - 4
KEH
37%
25%
38%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2010 |
NOT
2 - 2
SPI
73%
16%
11%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
DEN
1 - 0
SPI
30%
24%
46%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
SPI
0 - 3
HOF
18%
22%
60%
|
21 | 43 | 22 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
ASV
4 - 0
SPI
45%
23%
32%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | -2 |