Bonlanden vs Illertissen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
36.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bonlanden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
KEH
3 - 1
BON
40%
25%
35%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
BON
1 - 1
BAH
32%
25%
43%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
DEN
2 - 1
BON
36%
24%
40%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2009 |
BON
2 - 0
AST
27%
24%
50%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | +3 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
HOF
2 - 0
BON
78%
15%
7%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Illertissen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
BAH
1 - 4
ILL
65%
19%
17%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
ILL
0 - 1
AST
36%
24%
40%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
KIR
2 - 0
ILL
72%
16%
12%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2009 |
ILL
3 - 4
VIL
52%
23%
26%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
BAL
0 - 4
ILL
63%
20%
17%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +2 |