Bonlanden vs Heidenheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.5%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.2%
21%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
66.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bonlanden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2007 |
VFR
3 - 0
BON
56%
23%
21%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
BON
2 - 3
HOF
27%
25%
48%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
PFO
1 - 0
BON
48%
25%
28%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
BON
1 - 0
BAH
54%
23%
23%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
STU
5 - 0
BON
68%
19%
13%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Heidenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2007 |
HEI
4 - 2
VIL
68%
19%
13%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
FRE
3 - 1
HEI
19%
22%
58%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
HEI
2 - 1
WAL
79%
14%
7%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2007 |
ULM
3 - 0
HEI
53%
22%
25%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
HEI
1 - 0
NOT
83%
12%
5%
|
52 | 29 | 23 | 0 |