Bonlanden vs Freiberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
56.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bonlanden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
NOR
3 - 1
BON
53%
23%
24%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
HEI
5 - 1
BON
85%
11%
4%
|
24 | 53 | 29 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
BON
1 - 1
VFR
23%
25%
53%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
HOF
5 - 1
BON
74%
17%
9%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
BON
3 - 0
PFO
29%
24%
48%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | +3 |
Matches
Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
FRE
4 - 0
VIL
59%
22%
19%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
FRE
5 - 2
FRE
43%
27%
31%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +2 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
WAL
0 - 3
FRE
57%
23%
20%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
FRE
0 - 2
ULM
18%
23%
59%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2006 |
NOT
1 - 1
FRE
40%
25%
35%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |