Bonlanden vs Freiberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
25.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bonlanden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
STU
1 - 1
BON
40%
27%
32%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2004 |
BAH
1 - 3
BON
54%
24%
22%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
BON
4 - 3
HOF
40%
25%
35%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
BON
5 - 3
AJL
50%
24%
26%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +2 |
| 19 May. 2004 |
SVS
3 - 1
BON
67%
21%
12%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2004 |
FRE
3 - 1
FVL
53%
26%
21%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2004 |
SVS
2 - 1
FRE
61%
23%
17%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -3 |
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
FRE
3 - 0
FVL
46%
28%
26%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +2 |
| 31 May. 2004 |
FRE
1 - 1
CRA
27%
25%
48%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2004 |
FRE
1 - 1
FRE
24%
25%
51%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | 0 |