Bonlanden vs Freiberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
23.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bonlanden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2004 |
CRA
3 - 0
BON
73%
17%
10%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
BON
1 - 3
WAL
18%
24%
58%
|
33 | 55 | 22 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
FRE
0 - 0
BON
67%
21%
12%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
FVL
1 - 1
BON
46%
28%
26%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2004 |
BON
0 - 0
STU
42%
26%
32%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2004 |
FRE
0 - 1
STU
45%
25%
30%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2004 |
WAL
2 - 3
FRE
81%
13%
6%
|
30 | 55 | 25 | +2 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
REU
4 - 0
FRE
77%
15%
8%
|
30 | 57 | 27 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
FRE
1 - 2
NOT
25%
24%
51%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | -2 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
ULM
0 - 2
FRE
79%
14%
7%
|
30 | 58 | 28 | +2 |