Bolton Wanderers vs Wrexham AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
24%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
BOL
1 - 1
MAN
58%
21%
21%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
LEY
1 - 2
BOL
26%
27%
47%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
POR
0 - 3
BOL
14%
20%
66%
|
76 | 54 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
BOL
0 - 1
STO
53%
23%
24%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
BOL
1 - 1
FIO
22%
24%
54%
|
76 | 91 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
SHE
4 - 2
WRE
68%
18%
14%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
WRE
3 - 2
WYC
60%
22%
18%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
WRE
1 - 0
FLE
73%
16%
11%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
VAN
1 - 4
WRE
66%
19%
15%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
CHL
2 - 2
WRE
85%
11%
4%
|
72 | 94 | 22 | 0 |